Sunday, 8 November 2009

Rafael Benitez - Time to Say Goodbye?

With speculation over Rafael Benitez’s future reaching tipping point, is it time for Liverpool to say goodbye to their idiosyncratic manager? Six defeats in eight games and the looming Champions League exit would test the loyalty of most club owners. And it could be argued that current form barely scratches the surface of a multitude of issues at Anfield.

The performance of a football team and indeed a coach should be judged over a period of longer than a few months. So regardless of recent form, the more pertinent question to ask is whether Benitez has been a success during his five years at Liverpool?

Since 2004 the Spanish coach has twice achieved silverware, famously with the Champions League triumph of 2005, followed by the FA Cup the following year. With a consistent Champions League showing over the next four seasons and last year’s title push, it could be argued that Benitez has cemented Liverpool’s reputation as a European force whilst maintaining a domestic challenge.

Unfortunately, this will never be enough for a club of Liverpool’s heritage and pedigree, regardless of how competitive English football has been since his arrival. As talk emerges of five year plans, many Liverpool fans are wondering what happened to last five. The Champions League triumph of 2005 is the obvious starting place.

The worst detractors will argue that the legacy of Gerard Houllier had more to do with the Istanbul triumph than the influence of Benitez. Whilst the development of Gerrard and Carragher owes much to the Frenchman, this grossly undervalues the tactical acumen of Benitez, let alone the importance of Xabi Alonso. Although talented, it is highly unlikely Houllier would have plotted such an unexpected European triumph.

But the incredible victory in Istanbul did much to remove the spotlight from Benitez’s average performance in the transfer market during his first season. Although Alonso was an inspired signing, Nunez, Josemi and Morientes were a more reliable indicator of things to come.

If the assembly of a squad designed to challenge Man United’s supremacy was the long-term aim, then there is no doubt that Benitez has failed. The current squad is arguably worse than that he inherited, failing to personify its manager in the same way Chelsea did under Mourinho and Arsenal do under Wenger. Of the Spaniard’s signings, only Torres, Mascherano and Reina provide any significant building blocks for the future.

Moreover, this season’s glaring lack of a first-class striker to support Torres has been embarrassing. Both Voronin and N’Gog would struggle to get into most Premier League sides. This leaves Steven Gerrard shoehorned into the role of second striker, thus relieving the team of their most potent midfield force. In a roundabout way, Benitez’s poor man management skills are to blame…

The lack of respect shown to Xabi Alonso in last year’s pursuit of Gareth Barry left much to be desired. Alonso’s superb performances last season smacked of an ‘I told you so’ attitude and there was little surprise when he jumped at his deserved move to the Bernabeu. Likewise, the poor management of Robbie Keane completely robbed the striker of his confidence. Yes, the Irishman hardly set the world alight in his brief period at Anfield, but a £20 million outlay surely allows for a period of bedding in and adjustment. Keane didn’t become a bad player overnight.

The handling of Keane left Liverpool threadbare as an attacking force, whilst their much publicised financial issues have meant a lack funds for a world class replacement.

Money is an issue that just won’t disappear for Liverpool and this summer’s spending masks deeper problems at Anfield. On the surface they have spent £17 million on Roma’s Aquilani and £18m on Glen Johnson, but in reality the outlay is far less. The fee for Johnson was closer to £10 million due to an outstanding debt Portsmouth owed on Peter Crouch, whilst the Aquilani-Alonso reversal netted a £13 million profit for the club.

We should remember that Benitez’s spending power at Liverpool has always been closer to that of Wenger than Ferguson. With this in mind success relative to outlay has been more than adequate. But where Arsenal currently have a squad packed with young exciting players, Liverpool are left with the perennially frustrating Babel, Lucas and Riera.

Liverpool are in desperate need of a change and although harsh, it seems Benitez has run his course. The likelihood of this happening however, is massively decreased by Gillett and Hicks dreadful management of his contract negotiations. If they want to fire the Spaniard they will have to shell out £20 million in compensation for the privilege.

This financial implication may inadvertently help the club. Although the clamour for Benitez’s head continues to build, he does have one thing going for him – things can only getter better. If he stays there’s no doubt he has the ability to steer the club towards Champions League qualification once again, which is now an absolute must for next season.

The potential departure of Benitez inevitably leads to consideration of the alternatives. But with Kenny Dalglish currently hailed as the potential prodigal son, you do wonder what more he could offer than the current manager. It’s nearly fifteen years since Blackburn won the title and the game has changed a great deal since Kenny was king… much more than when Rafa wore the crown in 2005.

Don't Blame it on Rio

You have to feel sorry for Rio Ferdinand. After several years of largely unblemished excellence for both England and Manchester United he has become the subject of stinging public criticism for recent performances. Although his form is undoubtedly below par, the calls for him to be dropped by both club and country are ludicrous.

Ahead of a World Cup offering more than the usual blinkered English optimism, the media are yet again intent on throwing the national team off the rails. In the absence of Steve McClaren style calamities on the pitch and Sven-esque intrigue away from it, red top column inches are proving tougher to fill than usual. So with the goalkeeping debate reaching unthinkable realms of dreariness, enter Rio Ferdinand.

The Manchester United defender’s recent high-profile mistakes have opened the door on an unceremonious blanket review of his worth. With poor judgement against Man City and Ukraine providing untimely reminders of his lackadaisical past and Fernando Torres showing him up for pace and strength against Liverpool.

Although there is clearly something amiss, Rio’s consistency over the last three years has done him no favours, only serving to accentuate his current form. Whether a matter of concentration or physical condition, it’s important to retain a degree of sanity over the situation. Suggestions that this is the beginning of the end for one of England’s finest ever centre-backs are ridiculous.

Amidst the cat calls, there are accusations that Rio has too many off the field commitments, particularly with his recent co-funding of British feature film ‘Dead Man Running’. Other than the obvious puns to coincide with his dip in form, this is merely a side project. The facts behind his bad patch are far less glamorous. The simple truth is that Ferdinand’s pre-season was ruined by a thigh injury. He is still building up to full match fitness and sharpness, a fact that Sir Alex Ferguson and Fabio Capello will be acutely aware of.

With South Africa looking like a genuine opportunity for England’s best World Cup since 1990, it is vital Rio is given time and patience, rather than a barrage of criticism in the press. It’s clear he has great ability, but also easy to forget that he thrives on confidence. When undermined, Ferdinand has a tendency to commit uncharacteristic mistakes. But at his ego-driven best he was one of the outstanding England players at the last two World Cups.

Complacency has been suggested as another contributory factor, with Rio’s Man United and England place facing no genuine challenge. However, Matthew Upson’s admirable performances will not have gone unnoticed and as too will Fabio Capello’s lack of regard for reputations.

But in reality, any chance of England lifting the World Cup next year will require an in-form Ferdinand alongside an in-form John Terry. Where Upson is Terry-like in his style, the Man United centre-back provides the perfect foil, with athleticism, anticipation and distribution to match the best in the world. All qualities required from a centre-half when facing the most technically gifted teams on the planet.

For the collective good of the World Cup bid, it’s about time we backed Rio. There’s no denying that he splits the public with his off the field personality and myriad of side projects. But whilst we collectively cringed at the excruciating ‘Merk’d’ of 2006, it should be noted that his soon to be launched ‘Live the Dream Foundation’ indicates a social conscience missing from many of today’s modern stars.

So, in the absence of interesting stories to write about England, I would direct the spotlight towards the amoral Robinho. His recent flirting with Barcelona makes Cristiano Ronaldo’s Madrid courtship look positively bashful. Whilst Man City are hardly anyone’s second team at the moment, you have to sympathise with Mark Hughes. In order to get the neutrals back on side, why not force the ungracious Brazilian to play out the remainder of his contract in the reserves? Let’s face it, they hardly need the money.

Whatever happens, it would be nice to see the pressure lifted from the England players for at least a few months ahead of South Africa 2010.

Give Keane a Chance

Roy Keane is very easy to dislike…And that’s why I’ve always liked him.

But as Ipswich Town slide further into trouble, the knives are well and truly out for their controversial manager.

Other than the steadily increasing boos at Portman Road, it has been a tumultuous few weeks for Keane. On one hand Dwight Yorke, Piers Morgan et al. have led a press massacre, whilst on the other he was declared the second richest manger in British football.

But regardless of the rhetoric and media glare, Keane possesses a rare characteristic. He simply doesn’t care what people think.

Whether this ambivalence results in his downfall or becomes the key to future success remains to be seen. He’s already been given the dreaded vote of confidence by the Ipswich board, who would do well to follow through and give him more time.

Aside from the tabloid ramblings of Yorke and predictable prattle of Morgan, the general sway of opinion seems to be that Keane is just too arrogant and opinionated. There is no doubt he has a mouth on him, but how much of a surprise is this given that Clough and Ferguson are his major managerial influences?

It wasn’t long ago that Keane was seen as the rightful heir to both. At Sunderland his outspoken nature was called honesty and eccentricity. But jump forward two years and he is labeled as downright nasty.

The truth is that Keane is probably somewhere between the two. Striking a balance between the hard-nailed edge and self-confidence required to lead a group of footballers. This is why his false start at Ipswich is such a surprise. Of all the young managers in British football he looked best equipped to succeed. And in Ipswich it looked like he had found the perfect ‘low key’ setting.

Unfortunately, ‘low key’ is not a phrase often uttered in the same sentence as Roy Keane. His personality alone is enough to court the spotlight, and for a man who values his privacy, he has generated a huge degree of controversy throughout his career.

In contrast to a Mourinho whose outrageous statements have a psychological function to relieve pressure from his players, when Keane says something he means it. Right or wrong, his exit from the 2002 World Cup was a demonstration of his unbending conviction in his beliefs, whilst ‘prawn sandwich-gate’ and accusations against underperforming Man United team mates demonstrate the courage to stand behind them.

Given the nature of his departure, it would be easy to lose perspective on Keane’s achievements with Sunderland. With no prior managerial experience, he took the Black Cats from second bottom in the Championship to the Premier League in his first season, and left the club significantly better off than when he joined.

It would have been all too obvious to walk into a mid-table Premier League outfit after Sunderland. But Keane opted to build something at Ipswich. And whilst no one would have anticipated such a woeful start to the season, rebuilding does take time.

Keane’s famous uncompromising honesty was on show recently when he suggested he could have been lucky at Sunderland and was possibly “being found out” by recent results. But amidst Ipswich’s failings bad luck has played a part, with late goals costing them five points in their last four matches. With their next six games against teams in the bottom half of the Championship, Keane will be itching for the end of the international break.

The likelihood is that Roy Keane will turn things around in the short term at Portman Road. But it’s his temperament that will have the biggest bearing on his future success. He has demonstrated with Sunderland and Ireland that he is not afraid of walking away. This is something he will need to get over in order to fulfill his potential. Let’s hope his current club provides him the opportunity to do so.

We Built This City

With misplaced boots and misguided celebrations overshadowing their clinical counter-attacking last Saturday, the emerging stature of Man City may just have slipped under the radar. Almost 12 months since they became the world’s richest club, the green shoots of investment are beginning to show.

Whilst they have hardly charmed the football purists with their aggressive transfer policy, their Arsenal-style disposal of Arsenal should have been a big step towards some positive PR. Sadly, the headlines were made for altogether different reasons.

But looking past the fleeting controversy surrounding a certain Togolese striker, Saturday’s benchmark performance raises an important question… What does long-term success look like for Manchester City?

For the answer, I would ask Roman Abramovich.

In spite of two league titles, the Russian’s vast investment has failed to reap the dividends he had hoped for. A haul of domestic trophies may have been enough appease Chelsea’s success-starved fans, but it barely scrapes the owner’s long term expectations.

For an investment approaching a billion pounds, Roman Abramovich has every right to wonder just what went wrong. The plan was to make Chelsea an internationally admired super-brand, but six years on he finds himself at a club reviled by governing bodies, disliked by the press and despised by neutrals.

Much of the disdain stems from the idea that Chelsea have bought their success; a cross Man City are bearing even before challenging for honours. But in time the investment of Sheikh Mansour will reap trophies and then the real challenge of removing this stigma will begin.
In order to succeed, Man City will need to add an ingredient which has always been missing at Stamford Bridge. Football which captivates and captures the imagination of neutrals.

Although Man City’s emotionally charged victory over Arsenal demonstrated what they are capable of as an attacking force, it’s worth remembering that their other victories this season have been solid unremarkable performances. In Mark Hughes, they have a manager who will develop a side primarily built for results. This backbone and resilience is the foundation for any degree of success in English football. Just ask Alex Ferguson or José Mourinho.

Arsenal may have won a lot of admirers over the last few years, but they haven’t won a trophy since 2005. What they wouldn’t give now for a combative spoiler in the mould of Nigel de Jong? Add the determination of Barry, Tévez and Lescott and we see a team developing very much in the mould of the manager. Mark Hughes might not be the most obvious choice for a club with such astronomical expectations, but by keeping him on the owners may have pulled off a masterstroke.

It would have been all too easy to bring in a high-profile manager and a parade of Robinho style marquee players this summer. But in Hughes, Man City’s owners have held on to a shrewd operator who will get results. They might not play blistering football this season, but they have a great chance of breaking the top four and qualifying for the Champions League.

And what of the entertaining football? The long suffering faithful won’t care less about ‘Brand Man City’ if they win the league. But one suspects the owners will eventually expect Barcelona-style football lighting up European nights at Eastlands.

If their vast financial clout is combined with a degree of patience, Man City could just succeed where Chelsea have failed. In Robinho, Wright-Phillips and Stephen Ireland they already have players who can illuminate a big occasion, and where better to start than in the back yard of bitter rivals Man United on Sunday.